Senior Nepali Congress leader Shekhar Koirala’s recent statements about Rabi Lamichhane have sparked discussions on the possibility of a new political coalition in Nepal. Koirala criticized the government for transferring Lamichhane from Bharatpur to Pokhara in the middle of the night, describing the act as "inhumane and excessive." He urged the government to follow legal procedures and avoid mistreating individuals under investigation.

Koirala's remarks come amidst ongoing investigations into cooperative fraud allegations against Lamichhane. The National Human Rights Commission (NHRC) has also initiated an investigation into claims of human rights violations and mistreatment by the police. The NHRC has summoned senior police officers to address the manner in which Lamichhane was transferred between detention facilities.

Foreign Minister Arzu Rana’s Discontent

Foreign Minister Arzu Rana has reportedly expressed dissatisfaction with Koirala's statement. Sources suggest that disagreements have emerged between the two leaders over this issue, adding tension within the party.

Koirala-Lamichhane Dialogues and Coalition Prospects

Recent reports indicate that Koirala has held multiple discussions with Lamichhane, signaling the rising importance of the Rastriya Swatantra Party leader in Nepal’s political landscape. In the context of forming a new coalition, Lamichhane and his party are expected to play a crucial role.

If a new coalition emerges, Lamichhane’s support would be indispensable. From his detention, Lamichhane has already called upon his party cadres to work towards changing the government led by KP Sharma Oli. Speculations suggest that a coalition might form under the leadership of Madhav Kumar Nepal or Shekhar Koirala, excluding the CPN-UML.

Lamichhane’s Role: Technical but Crucial

If a new coalition gains momentum, Lamichhane’s involvement would be more technical than ideological. Under such circumstances, there is a faint possibility of his release from custody, though this remains unlikely for now.

Government’s Proximity to China

The current government’s closeness to China, particularly following the Prime Minister’s recent visit and the signing of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) agreement, has fueled dissatisfaction in India. This discontent could further destabilize the government, increasing the likelihood of a new coalition.

Conclusion

Shekhar Koirala’s remarks have not only highlighted the need for fairness in legal proceedings against Lamichhane but also strengthened the prospects of a new coalition. The friction between Koirala and Foreign Minister Rana, along with Koirala’s dialogues with Lamichhane, underscores shifting dynamics in Nepal’s political scenario. Meanwhile, the government’s growing ties with China continue to raise questions about its stability, making the coming weeks critical for the country’s political future.

Ravi Lamichhane